IDC FutureScape: Worldwide Developer and DevOps 2022 Predictions

IDC FutureScape Figure

• Figure: IDC FutureScape: Worldwide Developer and DevOps 2022 Top 10 Predictions

Executive Summary

IDC FutureScape Predictions

• Summary of External Drivers

• Predictions: Impact on Technology Buyers

• Prediction 1: Traditional DevOps Automation and Processes Are Disrupted by Kubernetes and Cloud-Native Development Such That by 2024, 35% of DevOps Adopters Will Embrace More Streamlined GitOps Automation Processes

• Associated Drivers

• IT Impact

• Guidance

• Prediction 2: By 2024, 55% of Organizations Using DevOps Processes Will Demand DevOps Pipeline Security Such as Audit Trails to Focus on Secure Software Supply Chain and Lower the Potential for Compromise in the Future

• Associated Drivers

• IT Impact

• Guidance

• Prediction 3: By 2022, 20% of Large Organizations Will Have Permanent Representation by Business into Tech Teams or Vice Versa, Ensuring Internal Collaborative Efforts and Self-Service Apps That Meet Business Needs

• Associated Drivers

• IT Impact

• Guidance

• Prediction 4: Advancements in Refactoring Technologies Through 2027 Will Automate 60% of the Refactoring of Legacy Applications, Increasing the Speed with Which Legacy Applications Are Modernized by 20 Times

• Associated Drivers

• IT Impact

• Guidance

• Prediction 5: By 2025, 75% of Newly Developed Applications Will Include Some Automatically Generated Code, Freeing up Humans to Focus on Development Tasks That Are Not Easily Automated

• Associated Drivers

• IT Impact

• Guidance

• Prediction 6: By 2024, DevOps Maturity Will Shift Further Left with 50% of DevOps Teams Evaluated Primarily on Business Metrics Such as Customer Satisfaction, Margins, Cloud Costs, and Other Business Outcomes

• Associated Drivers

• IT Impact

• Guidance

• Prediction 7: The Percentage of Large Organizations That Deploy Code to Production Daily Will Increase from 5% in 2021 to 70% in 2025 as a Result of Widespread Implementation of Mature DevOps Practices

• Associated Drivers

• IT Impact

• Guidance

• Prediction 8: Event-Driven Architecture Becomes Viable for Building New Apps by 2024 as 10% of Organizations Will Use It for Most of Their Development Needs and 70% Will Use It for a Minority of Their Development Needs

• Associated Drivers

• IT Impact

• Guidance

• Prediction 9: By 2023, 25% of New Employee-Facing Application Development Will Be Displaced by Codeless Development of Discrete Tasks That Are Assigned Just in Time to Workers Paired with Robot Assistants

• Associated Drivers

• IT Impact

• Guidance

• Prediction 10: By 2025, Acceleration of Retirements of Experienced Operations Staff with Fewer Trained Replacements Will Drive Automation, and Penetration of Automated Operations Will Grow to 70% of Large Enterprises

• Associated Drivers

• IT Impact

• Guidance

Advice for Technology Buyers

External Drivers: Detail

• Pervasive Disruption Continues — Volatility, Opportunity, and Resilience

• The Future Enterprise — Thriving in a Jungle of Agile Innovation

• Embracing Digital First — New Strategies for Complexity and Ubiquity

• Intelligence on Demand — Navigating the Torrent of Data

• Digital Ecosystem — Thriving in a Multiplatform World

• Workforce Outlook — Redefining Teams, Reinventing Models, and Rethinking Leadership

• Engagement Reimagined — From Responsive to Anticipatory

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• Related Research